No-vig true probability for every MLB and NHL line.
Updated every morning before first pitch.
Free access ends September 1st
Mora Bets pulls daily MLB and NHL betting lines from FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM, then removes the sportsbook's built-in margin — called the vig — to calculate the true probability each line represents. This is called no-vig probability, and it tells you what the sharp market actually believes about each game before the house edge distorts the number.
Every pick on today's board is sorted by true probability — highest confidence first. The best available odds line across all major books is shown on each card so you can always bet at the best price. This is called line shopping and over a full MLB season it compounds into hundreds of dollars in additional profit from the same picks.
Today's MLB picks include moneylines, run lines, totals, and player props — all filtered to lines where no-vig probability is 52% or higher. Only picks where the market genuinely favors one side are shown. The board updates every morning at 10 AM ET when sharp lines open.
Standard -110 odds imply a 52.4% chance of winning — but that includes the sportsbook's 4.5% margin. Strip the vig and both sides of a 50/50 bet show 50% each, which is the true market probability. When one side shows 60% true probability, the market is genuinely pricing that outcome as a clear favorite — not just because of the vig.
Mora Bets is completely free. No account, no subscription, no picks service. The daily board is open to everyone. Open accounts at multiple books to always take the best available line — that's the only free edge every bettor has access to.